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Earth_size habitable_zone planet found hidden within early NASA Kepler data

- Conclusion:
- "A reanalysis of data from NASA's Kepler space
telescope has revealed an Earth-size exoplanet orbiting in its star's
habitable zone the area around a star where a rocky planet could
support liquid water
".
A team of transatlantic scientists using reanalyzed data from NASA's
Kepler space telescope has discovered an Earth-size exoplanet orbiting
in its star's habitable zone the area around a star where a rocky
planet could support liquid water_- Scientists discovered this planet, called Kepler-1649c, when looking
through old observations from Kepler, which the agency retired in 2018.
While previous searches with a computer algorithm misidentified it,
researchers reviewing Kepler data took a second look at the signature
and recognized it as a planet. Out of all the exoplanets found by
Kepler, this distant world -- located 300 light-years from Earth -- is
most similar to Earth in size and estimated temperature.
This newly revealed world is only 1.06 times larger than our own
planet. Also, the amount of starlight it receives from its host star is
75% of the amount of light Earth receives from our Sun -- meaning the
exoplanet's temperature may be similar to our planet's as well. But
unlike Earth, it orbits a red dwarf. Though none have been observed in
this system, this type of star is known for stellar flare-ups that may
make a planet's environment challenging for any potential life.
"This intriguing, distant world gives us even greater hope that a
second Earth lies among the stars, waiting to be found," said Thomas
Zurbuchen, associate administrator of NASA's Science Mission Directorate
in Washington. "The data gathered by missions like Kepler and our
Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite [TESS] will continue to yield
amazing discoveries as the science community refines its abilities to
look for promising planets year after year."
There is still much that is unknown about Kepler-1649c, including its
atmosphere, which could affect the planet's temperature. Current
calculations of the planet's size have significant margins of error, as
do all values in astronomy when studying objects so far away. But based
on what is known, Kepler-1649c is especially intriguing for scientists
looking for worlds with potentially habitable conditions...
There are other exoplanets estimated to be closer to Earth in size,
such as TRAPPIST-1f and, by some calculations, Teegarden c. Others may
be closer to Earth in temperature, such as TRAPPIST-1d and TOI 700d. But
there is no other exoplanet that is considered to be closer to Earth in
both of these values that also lies in the habitable zone of its
system.
"Out of all the mislabeled planets we've recovered, this one's
particularly exciting -- not just because it's in the habitable zone and
Earth-size, but because of how it might interact with this neighboring
planet," said Andrew Vanderburg, a researcher at the University of Texas
at Austin and first author on the paper released today in The Astrophysical Journal Letters. "If we hadn't looked over the algorithm's work by hand, we would have missed it."""""
Kepler-1649c orbits its small red dwarf star so closely that a year
on Kepler-1649c is equivalent to only 19.5 Earth days. The system has
another rocky planet of about the same size, but it orbits the star at
about half the distance of Kepler-1649c, similar to how Venus orbits our
Sun at about half the distance that Earth does. Red dwarf stars are
among the most common in the galaxy, meaning planets like this one could
be more common than we previously thought.
Looking for False Positives
Previously, scientists on the Kepler mission developed an algorithm
called Robovetter to help sort through the massive amounts of data
produced by the Kepler spacecraft, managed by NASA's Ames Research
Center in California's Silicon Valley. Kepler searched for planets using
the transit method, staring at stars, looking for dips in brightness as
planets passed in front of their host stars.____
Most of the time, those dips come from phenomena other than planets
-- ranging from natural changes in a star's brightness to other cosmic
objects passing by -- making it look like a planet is there when it's
not. Robovetter's job was to distinguish the 12% of dips that were real
planets from the rest. Those signatures Robovetter determined to be from
other sources were labeled "false positives," the term for a test
result mistakenly classified as positive.
With an enormous number of tricky signals, astronomers knew the
algorithm would make mistakes and would need to be double-checked -- a
perfect job for the Kepler False Positive Working Group. That team
reviews Robovetter's work, going through each false positive to ensure
they are truly errors and not exoplanets, ensuring fewer potential
discoveries are overlooked. As it turns out, Robovetter had mislabeled
Kepler-1649c.
Even as scientists work to further automate analysis processes to get
the most science as possible out of any given dataset, this discovery
shows the value of double-checking automated work. Even six years after
Kepler stopped collecting data from the original Kepler field -- a patch
of sky it stared at from 2009 to 2013, before going on to study many
more regions -- this rigorous analysis uncovered one of the most unique
Earth analogs discovered yet.___
A Possible Third Planet
Kepler-1649c not only is one of the best matches to Earth in terms of
size and energy received from its star, but it provides an entirely new
look at its home system. For every nine times the outer planet in the
system orbits the host star, the inner planet orbits almost exactly four
times. The fact that their orbits match up in such a stable ratio
indicates the system itself is extremely stable and likely to survive
for a long time.
Nearly perfect period ratios are often caused by a phenomenon called
orbital resonance, but a nine-to-four ratio is relatively unique among
planetary systems. Usually resonances take the form of ratios such as
two-to-one or three-to-two. Though unconfirmed, the rarity of this ratio
could hint to the presence of a middle planet with which both the inner
and outer planets revolve in synchronicity, creating a pair of
three-to-two resonances.
The team looked for evidence of such a mystery third planet, with no
results. However, that could be because the planet is too small to see
or at an orbital tilt that makes it impossible to find using Kepler's
transit method.*
Either way, this system provides yet another example of an Earth-size
planet in the habitable zone of a red dwarf star. These small and dim
stars require planets to orbit extremely close to be within that zone --
not too warm and not too cold -- for life as we know it to potentially
exist. Though this single example is only one among many, there is
increasing evidence that such planets are common around red dwarfs.
*The more data we get, the more signs we see pointing to the notion
that potentially habitable and Earth-size exoplanets are common around
these kinds of stars," said Vanderburg. "With red dwarfs almost
everywhere around our galaxy, and these small, potentially habitable and
rocky planets around them, the chance one of them isn't too different
than our Earth looks a bit brighter.*
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